SHORT COMMUNICATION 175
The Middle East Dilemma
By
Roger Behra
There is a huge fundamental question that can be answered about Iran and her great desire to develop a nuclear bomb. The question is who would gain from that achievement? The answer is no one, absolutely no one. In fact the whole Middle East would be the loser. And that includes Iran. The thought of Iran having a nuclear bomb is very scary to contemplate because it is in conjunction with Iran also working hard to develop an ICBM that could reach many distant places including the U.S. The Middle East would not be the only place shaking in their boots.
If Iran ever develops a nuclear bomb which is their fervent desire, the U.S., Israel, Saudi Arabia, other oil producing states, and the vital shipping lanes of the Persian Gulf would be at grave risk of Iranian threat and control. If Iran develops an ICBM (she’s nearly there) to go with a nuclear bomb look out America. Does anyone think the hostile leadership of Iran would refrain from arming an ICBM with a nuclear weapon and launching it? No. Restraint is not in the Iranian dictionary. Keep in mind also that Iran can purchase whatever they need.
Fortunately, Iran’s entire nuclear program does not have to be destroyed. What has to be done is this. As soon as possible (meaning right now) get to know Iran’s technology paths and needs and then make sure Iran does not get the very needed components to assemble the entire bomb or purchase in ICBM from Russia or North Korea. Since the U.S. is a potential target, the U.S. has got to get involved somehow, now, post haste. As of April, 2010 America has no plan, and sanctions are not going to work at all. Sanctions are a laughable approach.
Iran’s desire along with threatening other countries is to gain regional domination in the Middle East. That is another nightmarish situation to give worry to everyone. How long would Iran wait to hang a nuclear bomb over the heads of other countries to gain and advantage? The answer is a no-brainer-not very long at all.
If the U.S. does not get involved to help protect Israel and other Arab allies, Israel may have to go it alone against Iran. Israel is dead set against Iran developing a definite nuclear weapon, and that opens another can of worms. The developing scenario in the Middle East is full of if’s, and’s, and but’s.
The steps that have to be taken must start almost immediately because of the lag time involved. The questions involved are three. What steps must be taken? What will the steps include? When will action begin against Iran? Iran must never ever gain possession of a nuclear weapon. It must be repeated again that no one would gain, not even Iran.
As of April 30, 2010, an awful scenario is shaping up because no steps have been taken. Israel will have to overtly strike Iran out of self-preservation. As a last resort Israel will do that. She would be severely condemned, but the rest of the Middle East and the U.S. would breathe a long sigh of relief. Then there is the chance Iran will think again and not continue to ruffle so many feathers, but do not bet any U.S. dollars or Israel money on that ever happening. Iran is bound and determined to somehow have possession of nuclear weapons. When and how are the important questions. Iran’s intentions are evil and absolute to the end. Iran has been offered everything she needs for peaceful purposes. Iran refused.
R. B.
4-30-10